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Maximum Likelihood Estimation with Stata
William Gould, Jeffrey Pitblado, William Sribney
Table of Contents
1 Theory and Practice
- 1.1 The likelihood maximization problem
- 1.2 Likelihood theory
- 1.2.1 All results are asymptotic
- 1.2.2 Variance estimates and hypothesis tests
- 1.2.3 Likelihood-ratio tests and Wald tests
- 1.2.4 The outer product of gradients variance estimator
- 1.2.5 Robust variance estimates
- 1.3 The maximization problem
- 1.3.1 Numerical root finding
- Newton's methods
- The NewtonRaphson algorithm
- 1.3.2 Quasi-Newton methods
- The BHHH algorithm
- The DFP and BFGS algorithm
- 1.3.3 Numerical maximization
- 1.3.4 Numerical derivatives
- 1.3.5 Numerical second derivatives
- 1.4 Monitoring convergence
2 Overview of ml
- 2.1 The jargon of ml
- 2.2 Equations in ml
- 2.3 Likelihood-evaluator methods
- 2.4 Tools for the ml programmer
- 2.5 Common ml options
- 2.5.1 Subsamples
- 2.5.2 Weights
- 2.5.3 OPG estimates of variance
- 2.5.4 Robust estimates of variance
- 2.5.5 Survey data
- 2.5.6 Constraints
- 2.5.7 Choosing among the optimization algorithms
- 2.6 Maximizing your own likelihood function
3 Method lf
- 3.1 The linear-form restrictions
- 3.2 Examples
- 3.2.1 The probit model
- 3.2.2 The normal model: linear regression
- 3.2.3 The Weibull model
- 3.3 The importance of generating temporary variables as doubles
- 3.4 Problems you can safely ignore
- 3.5 Nonlinear specifications
- 3.6 The advantages of lf in terms of execution speed
- 3.7 The advantages of lf in terms of accuracy
4 Methods d0, d1, and d2
- 4.1 Comparing these methods
- 4.2 Outline of method d0, d1, and d2 evaluators
- 4.2.1 The todo argument
- 4.2.2 The b argument
Using mleval to obtain values from each equation
- 4.2.3 The lnf argument
Using lnf to indicate that the likelihood cannot be calculated
Using mlsum to define lnf
- 4.2.4 The g argument
Using mlvecsum to define g
Scores for robust and OPG variance estimates (optional)
- 4.2.5 The negH argument
Using mlmatsum to define negH
- 4.2.6 Aside: Stata's scalars
- 4.3 Summary of methods d0, d1, and d2
- 4.3.1 Method d0
- 4.3.2 Method d1
- 4.3.3 Method d2
- 4.4 Linear-form examples
- 4.4.1 The probit model
- 4.4.2 The normal model: linear regression
- 4.4.3 The Weibull model
- 4.5 Panel-data likelihoods
- 4.5.1 Calculating lnf
- 4.5.2 Calculating g
- 4.5.3 Calculating negH
Using mlmatbysum to help define negH
Likelihoods other than linear form
5 Debugging likelihood evaluators
- 5.1 ml check
- 5.2 Using methods d1debug and d2debug
- 5.2.1 Method d1debug
- 5.2.2 Method d2debug
- 5.3 ml trace
6 Setting initial values
- 6.1 ml search
- 6.2 ml plot
- 6.3 ml init
7 Interactive maximization
- 7.1 The iteration log
- 7.2 Pressing the Break key
- 7.3 Maximizing difficult likelihood functions
8 Final results
- 8.1 Graphing convergence
- 8.2 Redisplaying output
9 Writing do-files to maximize likelihoods
- 9.1 The structure of a do-file
- 9.2 Putting the do-file into production
10 Writing ado-files to maximize likelihoods
- 10.1 Writing estimation commands
- 10.2 The standard estimation-command outline
- 10.3 Outline for estimation commands using ml
- 10.4 Using ml in noninteractive mode
- 10.5 Advice
- 10.5.1 Syntax
- 10.5.2 Estimation subsample
- 10.5.3 Parsing with help from mlopts
- 10.5.4 Weights
- 10.5.5 Constant-only model
- 10.5.6 Initial values
- 10.5.7 Saving results in e()
- 10.5.8 Displaying ancillary parameters
- 10.5.9 Exponentiated coefficients
- 10.5.10 Offsetting linear equations
- 10.5.11 Program properties
11 Writing ado-files for survey data analysis
- 11.1 Program properties
- 11.2 Writing your own predict command
12 Other examples
- 12.1 The logit model
- 12.2 The probit model
- 12.3 The normal model: linear regression
- 12.4 The Weibull model
- 12.5 The Cox proportional hazards model
- 12.6 The random-effects regression model
- 12.7 The seemingly unrelated regression model
A Syntax of ml
B Likelihood evaluator checklists
- B.1 Method lf
- B.2 Method d0
- B.3 Method d1
- B.4 Method d2
C Listing of estimation commands
- C.1 The logit model
- C.2 The probit model
- C.3 The normal model
- C.4 The Weibull model
- C.5 The Cox proportional hazards model
- C.6 The random-effects regression model
- C.7 The seemingly unrelated regression model
References
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